terça-feira, maio 18, 2004
Os Ganhos do Comércio Livre
Johan Norberg chama a atenção para um um paper de Kym Anderson que explicita os ganhos potenciais com a abolição de subsídios e medidas protecionistas e com os ganhos de eficiência que daí se podem advir.
- If rich countries abolished their agricultural protectionism, the world economy could gain $122 billion per year, simply by more specialisation and efficiency.
If poor countries abolished their own tariffs, their economies could gain $65 billion per year.
If we halved the legal limits for subsidies and tariffs, the global economy could gain something between $188 billion and $1 trillion per year.
But there are not merely static efficiency gains. Cutting trade barriers by half could also raise economic growth by a third in developing countries and one-sixth in richer countries.
Over 50 years, this extra growth plus the static efficiency gains from trade, adds more than $23 trillion to the world economy. Of this total, poor countries would reap $11.5 trillion.
Notas:
(1) valores expressos em USD de 1995
(2) 1 bilião (sistema americano) = 1000 milhões = 1.000.000.000
1 trilião (sistema americano) = 1 bilião = 1 = 1.000.000.000.000
posted by Miguel Noronha 12:11 da tarde
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